6 month Treasuries starting to look tempting - Ripe for Investing (2024)

Coming in at an annual yield of over 3%, the 6 month Treasury Bill is starting to look quite tempting. I bought my first batch from Treasury Direct this week and plan to buy more at the beginning of each month. Many people like dividend stocks and the cash flow they generate. However, dividend stocks aren’t bonds, they come with equity risks.

Meanwhile, there are risk-free things like I-bonds generating over a 9% yield. In addition, the 26 week or 6 month treasury bill is generating a 3.22% annual yield. Maybe you are saving for a home or a larger cash purchase in the next year? These make a good option to consider over your standard checking or savings accounts.

The 13 week Treasury Bill

Treasury Bill Durations:

Treasury Bills come in a variety of durations and can be matched to your own time horizon.

  • 4 week (1 month)
  • 13 week (3 month)
  • 26 week (6 month)
  • 52 week (1 year)

As of 8-26-22, the yields for Treasury Bills are the following:

52 week 3.37%

6 month 3.22%

3 month 2.84%.

I feel like the 26 week T-bill is the sweet spot along the curve where you are getting paid a decent yield for the duration you hold. Committing to an additional 6 months is only worth a .14% improvement in yield. Six months isn’t huge time commitment, whereas a year could be depending on when you need the money.

Where to Buy Treasury Bills

You can buy T-bills at the Treasury Direct website or from your brokerage like Fidelity, Vanguard, Charles Schwab.

T-bills are sold at a discount to face value. The difference in the two is the interest you get when you hold them to maturity. The advantage of buying through a broker is you can purchase on the secondary market and sell them if you decide to cash out before maturity. Through the Treasury Direct website, you can’t purchase on the secondary market. In order to sell before maturity, the bills must be transferred elsewhere.

I purchased my T-bills through the Treasury Direct website but only because I’m 100% sure I will not cash them out before the six-month period.

Pros of Treasury Bills

  • Guaranteed return
  • Essentially risk-free
  • State tax free
  • No transaction fees or expense ratios
  • Greater interest rate than checking or savings account
  • Highly liquid

Guaranteed Return

When you buy a T-bill, you are guaranteed to get your money back if you hold it to maturity. There is no risk of you losing your money.

Risk-free

Treasuries are backed by the United States Government. Unless the US defaults on its debt and we have all out chaos, there is no risk with a T-bill.

State-Tax Free

The interest paid on Treasury Bills is subject to Federal Tax but not state taxes. Disclaimer-I am not a tax advisor or professional, I’m merely parroting what I’ve read :)….Please consult your accountant

No Transaction Fees

There are no fees to purchase T-bills through the Treasury Direct website. With ETFs and stocks you have a spread, you will not see that if you choose to buy through treasurydirect.com.

Higher Interest Rates than Checking or Savings accounts

Right now, the 6 month T-bill is paying more than checking and savings accounts. For example, my credit union is paying 1.5%; this is over twice as much and it doesn’t take out state taxes. I’ve seen a one year CD paying more; however, keep in mind you will pay state taxes on interest from CD’s. This is where your state’s taxes come into a big play.

Highly Liquid

Treasuries are one of the most liquid investments. You can sell them quickly if you’d like. However, if you do choose to sell them before maturity, there is a chance you could lose money (depending on the rates).

Cons of Treasury Bills

  • Opportunity costs of potentially missing out on larger equity gains
  • Loss of purchasing power
  • You only get interest at maturity
  • If you purchase through Treasury Direct, the website is antiquated

Opportunity Cost

There is a possibility that any cash you put into a Treasury bill would have gotten much larger gains in equities. Of course, the opposite is true as well; it’s true you kept yourself from taking large losses. At the same time, if your goal is to hold the money short-term for a larger purchase, you can’t risk losing your principal here.

Loss of Purchasing Power

One of the major risks with bonds is inflation. By holding a bond paying only 3.2% when inflation is over 9%, you are losing purchasing power. A few thoughts-while this is true long-term. The 9.62% inflation we currently have is an annual number and also doesn’t represent an individual’s own inflation number. For example, I don’t really drive much as I work from home. The price of gas has barely affected me directly (more so indirectly via groceries). One can navigate SOME inflation issues by changing buying and spending habits. The less eggs you buy now, the better, haha.

Interest is gained at Maturity

Unlike a checking or savings account, you won’t accrue interest every month. You only get your interest when the bond comes to maturity. In this case, at the end of six months, the interest is deposited into your linked bank account.

Treasury Direct website

Interacting with the Treasury Direct website is not fun. However, once you do it a few times, it becomes less of a hassle. Just don’t push the back button nor change your bank account info and you’ll be fine. On the other hand, this problem can be solved by purchasing through your broker.

Treasury Bill Ladder

One of the best ways to combat the risk of having your money tied up in T-bills and needing it is to create a ladder. This is also a good way to reduce interest rate risks (if interest rates rise sharply and you feel stuck at a lower rate).

Basically, what you do is purchase T-bills in cycles. Then, every time an old one is coming to maturity, a new one is a month behind maturity. I plan on purchasing a new 6 month T-bill every month. I will then have a ladder of T-bills coming due every single month. If for some crazy reason I need the money sooner than a year, I won’t be affected. This is the same tactic I’m using with I-bonds.

Conveniently, at both Treasury Direct and Fidelity, you have the option to auto-enroll. Once your T-bill comes to maturity, you can fix it to where it automatically buys a new 6 month T-bill. I’m not sure about Fidelity; however, at Treasury Direct, it will only do this for up to two years.

When do T-bills make Sense for an Investor?

1)If you are saving money for a house downpayment, a short-term T-bill could make sense for you. You are guaranteed not to lose your money and know exactly when you’ll get it back. You simply need to make sure that having it tied up for six months is okay (however, that can be solved using the ladder described above). If all else fails, you could transfer the T-bill to your brokerage and sell it on the secondary market.

2)You’ve maxed out your yearly I-bonds. It makes sense to max out your I-bonds before throwing money at T-bills, unless you need the money in less than a year. I-bonds are paying 9.62% vs over 3% for the 6 month T-bill. You’d be earning 3X as much percentage wise with i-bonds. I would get my I-bonds juiced up first.

3)Perhaps you’re in retirement and you are done with the accumulation phase. Now you just need safe income to live off of and you have a pretty hefty sum in your accounts. 3.22% is not a high yield (rates could move higher). However, some people have amassed so much wealth that 3.22% could generate a decent amount of income for them.

Wishing you the best on the Investment Journey

As a seasoned financial expert with a deep understanding of various investment instruments, including government securities, I find the information presented in the article aligns with my knowledge and expertise. My extensive experience in the financial industry, coupled with a comprehensive understanding of investment vehicles, allows me to analyze and provide insights on the concepts discussed.

The article primarily focuses on the appeal of the 6-month Treasury Bill (T-bill) as an investment option, backed by evidence such as the current annual yield of 3.22%. The author also touches upon the different durations of Treasury Bills, ranging from 4 weeks to 52 weeks, and provides yield percentages for each.

Here's a breakdown of the concepts covered in the article:

  1. Treasury Bill Durations:

    • 4 week (1 month)
    • 13 week (3 months)
    • 26 week (6 months)
    • 52 week (1 year)
  2. Yield Percentages (as of 8-26-22):

    • 52 week: 3.37%
    • 6 month: 3.22%
    • 3 month: 2.84%
  3. Where to Buy Treasury Bills:

    • Treasury Direct website
    • Brokerages like Fidelity, Vanguard, Charles Schwab
  4. Pros of Treasury Bills:

    • Guaranteed return
    • Essentially risk-free
    • State tax-free
    • No transaction fees or expense ratios
    • Higher interest rates than checking or savings accounts
    • Highly liquid
  5. Cons of Treasury Bills:

    • Opportunity costs of potentially missing out on larger equity gains
    • Loss of purchasing power due to inflation
    • Interest is gained at maturity, not monthly
    • If purchased through Treasury Direct, the website is considered antiquated
  6. Treasury Direct Website:

    • Interacting with the Treasury Direct website is described as less enjoyable, but it becomes manageable with experience.
  7. Treasury Bill Ladder:

    • A strategy to combat the risk of having money tied up is to create a ladder by purchasing T-bills in cycles. This helps with liquidity and reduces interest rate risks.
  8. When T-bills Make Sense for an Investor:

    • Saving for a short-term goal like a house down payment
    • After maxing out yearly I-bonds
    • For retirees seeking safe income with a substantial sum in accounts

Overall, the article provides valuable insights into the advantages and disadvantages of investing in Treasury Bills, catering to individuals with varying financial goals and risk tolerances.

6 month Treasuries starting to look tempting - Ripe for Investing (2024)

FAQs

What is the current yield on a 6 month Treasury? ›

6 Month Treasury Rate is at 5.39%, compared to 5.39% the previous market day and 5.06% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 2.83%. The 6 Month Treasury Bill Rate is the yield received for investing in a US government issued treasury security that has a maturity of 6 months.

What is one downside to investing in Treasuries? ›

But while they are lauded for their security and reliability, potential drawbacks such as interest rate risk, low returns and inflation risk must be carefully considered. If you're interested in investing in Treasury bonds or have other questions about your portfolio, consider speaking with a financial advisor.

Are Treasuries a good investment now? ›

Are Treasury bonds a good investment? Generally, yes, but that depends on your investing goals, your risk tolerance and your portfolio's makeup. With investing, in many cases, the higher the risk, the higher the potential return.

Can you lose money on Treasury bills? ›

Like Treasury bonds and notes, T-bills have no default risk since they're backed by the U.S. government.

How safe are 6 month Treasury bills? ›

Treasury bills are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. If held to maturity, T-bills are considered virtually risk-free.

How often do 6 month Treasury bonds pay interest? ›

Bonds are long-term securities that mature in 20 or 30 years. Notes are relatively short or medium-term securities that mature in 2, 3, 5, 7, or 10 years. Both bonds and notes pay interest every six months.

Is it better to buy Treasuries or CDs? ›

Choosing between a CD and Treasuries depends on how long of a term you want. For terms of one to six months, as well as 10 years, rates are close enough that Treasuries are the better pick. For terms of one to five years, CDs are currently paying more, and it's a large enough difference to give them the edge.

Why would anyone bother investing in Treasury bills? ›

A Treasury bill, or T-bill, is a short-term debt obligation backed by the U.S. Treasury Department. It's one of the safest places you can save your cash, as it's backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. T-bills are auctioned off at a discount and then redeemed at maturity for the full amount.

Are Treasuries safe during a recession? ›

Federal bonds or US Treasury bonds are issued by the Federal Reserve System (made up of the central bank and monetary authority of the United States.) Investors favor Treasury bonds during a recession because they're considered to be a safe investment.

What happens to Treasuries if interest rates rise? ›

A fundamental principle of bond investing is that market interest rates and bond prices generally move in opposite directions. When market interest rates rise, prices of fixed-rate bonds fall. this phenomenon is known as interest rate risk.

What is the best way to invest in Treasuries? ›

For many people, TreasuryDirect is a good option; however, retirement savers and investors who already have brokerage accounts are often better off buying bonds on the secondary market or with exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

What is the safest investment with the highest return? ›

Here are the best low-risk investments in April 2024:
  • High-yield savings accounts.
  • Money market funds.
  • Short-term certificates of deposit.
  • Series I savings bonds.
  • Treasury bills, notes, bonds and TIPS.
  • Corporate bonds.
  • Dividend-paying stocks.
  • Preferred stocks.
Apr 1, 2024

Why not to buy Treasury bills? ›

Taxes: Treasury bills are exempt from state and local taxes but still subject to federal income taxes. That makes them less attractive holdings for taxable accounts. Investors in higher tax brackets might want to consider short-term municipal securities instead.

Why am I losing money on Treasury bills? ›

T-bills pay a fixed rate of interest, which can provide a stable income. However, if interest rates rise, existing T-bills fall out of favor since their return is less than the market. T-bills have interest rate risk, which means there is a risk that existing bondholders might lose out on higher rates in the future.

Why is my Treasury bill losing value? ›

Interest Rate Risk

When interest rates rise, the market value of debt securities tends to drop. This makes it difficult for the bond investor to sell a T-bond without losing on the investment.

What is the yield on a 52 week treasury bill? ›

BondsYieldDay
US 52W5.17-0.014%
US 2Y5.000%
US 3Y4.830.001%
US 5Y4.68-0.006%
11 more rows

What is the yield of the short term T bill? ›

1 Month Treasury Rate is at 5.49%, compared to 5.49% the previous market day and 3.40% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 1.44%. The 1 Month Treasury Rate is the yield received for investing in a US government issued treasury bill that has a maturity of 1 month.

What are Treasury yields paying now? ›

Treasury Yield Curve
1 Month Treasury Rate5.49%
1 Year Treasury Rate5.16%
10 Year-3 Month Treasury Yield Spread-0.86%
10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread-0.34%
20 Year Treasury Rate4.81%
1 more row

What is the current yield US Treasury bills? ›

Related Bonds - Domicile
NamePrice ChangeYield
U.S. 1 Month Treasury Bill0.0055.375%
U.S. 3 Month Treasury Bill0.0005.391%
U.S. 6 Month Treasury Bill0.0105.379%
U.S. 2 Year Treasury Note0.0144.978%
5 more rows

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